Recent
research has shown that the individual numbers in a series of
genuine financial transactions will not be randomly distributed,
but will follow certain rules covering the distribution of the
individual digits. For example, extensive empirical research
has shown that genuine financial data (subject to certain qualifying
criteria) will have the number 1 as the leading digit in over
30% of transactions, providing the numbers have not been altered,
or manipulated in any way. Any variance from this expected distribution
may indicate fraud or other manipulation of the data.
Example
A
review of a series of Purchase Leger transactions using advanced
data analysis techniques showed some surprising anomalies. Subsequent
investigation of these anomalies established that a regular
contractor for a variety of minor services had been awarded
a major maintenance contract in suspicious circumstances. Further
investigations showed that the Contract Awards Manager had been
paid a substantial bribe to approve this surprising appointment.